Evaluating the Long-Run Impact of an Innovative Anti-Poverty Program: Evidence Using Household Panel Data.

Niaz M. Asadullah and Jinnat Ara.

ABSTRACT

Using a four-round panel data set from the first phase of the Challenging the Frontiers of Poverty Reduction – Targeting the Ultra Poor (CFPR – TUP) programme of BRAC, authors investigate whether a one-off transfer of livestock assets improves well-being of the very poor women in Bangladesh. Programme impact is assessed on a wide range of monetary and nonmonetary measures of wellbeing using difference-in-difference (DD) as well as matching methods. They find significant positive long-term impact on food security, household savings, assets and participation in microfinance. Participant women are less likely to be in distress occupation and more into self-employment. However, the long-term effect is much smaller for most outcomes when compared to short- and medium-run impacts. Authors conclude by discussing the significance of the institutional and regional context for the observed time path of estimated programme effect.